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| NewsSunday, August 19, 2007 10:10 PM CDT |
Budget logjam viewed as opportunity for GOP
SPRINGFIELD — Last week’s Illinois State Fair gave Republican and Democrat die-hards a chance to rally in Springfield as the 2008 campaigns began searching for votes in earnest. The week also marked at least a break in the General Assembly’s long spring and summer session, which has been extended by acidic bickering over a state budget, especially among Democrats who control almost all facets of state government. With the 2008 election still more than a year away, state Republicans want to capitalize on what they say was insufficient Democratic leadership that led to the record-setting logjam over state spending this year. That goal was made clear at the fair’s Republican day. “We need to take control of the House and the Senate,” said House Minority Leader Tom Cross of Oswego. “And we can do that in ’08.” Actual matchups for seats in the state General Assembly won’t be completely clear until after candidates file in October and the party primaries on Feb. 5. And history says a Republican takeover will be tough, University of Illinois-Springfield political scientist Kent Redfield said. It may be hard for Republicans to use government delays to change minds in a so-called “blue state” because Illinois voters, Redfield says, have read headlines for years about indicted officials and political gaffes. “It’s very difficult to really shock them or energize them,” he said. In 2004, Democratic leadership missed a budget deadline in a similar way they did this year, but Republicans didn’t make many waves on the state level in that election. This year was generally more contentious than 2004. The specter of a government shutdown loomed as Illinoisans paid more for their electric bills, all while lawmakers voted themselves pay raises. But a massive shutdown of government services has been avoided so far, meaning voters may turn a blind eye, said Mike Lawrence, director of the Paul Simon Public Policy Institute at Southern Illinois University Carbondale. “As long as driver’s license stations are open and people are getting other services, they may not care all that much,” Lawrence said. And Republicans may have trouble avoiding at least part of the blame. After Democratic leaders missed a key budget deadline at the end of May, more votes were needed to approve proposals. That meant Republicans in the minority had a say in things. “Everybody in elected office is painted with the same brush,” said state Sen. Dan Rutherford, R-Chenoa. “I don’t know that, at this point, the public understands the difference between a Democrat and a Republican for what’s going on in Springfield.” In light of that, Lawrence said Republicans’ strategy in 2008 might be to focus their rhetoric on Gov. Rod Blagojevich, much in the way Democrats won control of Congress last year while trying to tie Republicans to President Bush. At the same time, Illinois Democrats can point to proven success in fending off challenges in their healthy majorities in the House and Senate, as well as a monopoly on the state’s executive offices. “The best way to get Democrats to come together is the Republican Party and everything they stand for,” said House Speaker Michael Madigan, D-Chicago. Much of the contention during 2007’s overtime session can be traced to Blagojevich’s push to raise taxes to pay for a universal health care plan. Labor activist Mike Matejka of Bloomington blamed the lengthy session on the tough issues that Democratic leaders are trying to tackle. “Health care is a national issue. At least someone is trying to do something about it,” Matejka said. For his part, Blagojevich is publicly holding out hope that he’ll still come out on top. His plans to rework the state’s budget to find money for his health-care plan could accomplish at least part of the goals he set out to achieve early this year. Blagojevich said the battle over the budget could result in all sides getting what they want. Until that becomes clear, he said the verdict is out on whether the infighting has been harmful to his party. “It depends on how the story ends,” Blagojevich said. |
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