The Research 2000 Illinois Poll was conducted from October 20 through October 23, 2008. A total of 800 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges were utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 3.5% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
Sample figures
GENDER:
Men…383…48%
Women…417…52%
PARTY ID:
Democrats…339…42%
Republicans…214…27%
Independents…247…31%
RACE:
White…582…73%
Black…106…13%
Hispanic…83…10%
Other…29…4%
AGE:
18-29…144…18%
30-44…253…32%
45-59…248…31%
60+…155…19%
REGION:
Chicago/Cook County…350 interviews
Collar Counties…148 interviews
Central…182 interviews
Southern…120 interviews
Candidate…Favorable…Unfavorable…No opinion
BARACK OBAMA…72%…22%…6%
JOHN MCCAIN…38%…59%…3%
JOE BIDEN…55%…30%…15%
SARAH PALIN…31%…58%…11%
QUESTION: If the election for President were held today, would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Republican ticket of John McCain and Sarah Palin, Bob Barr, the Libertarian Party candidate, Ralph Nader, an Independent, Chuck Baldwin, the Constitution Party candidate, Cynthia McKinney, the Green Party candidate, or John Joseph Polachek, the New Party candidate?
Group…Obama…McCain…Other…Undecided
ALL…59%…35%…5%…1%
MEN…52%…41%…6%…1%
WOMEN…65%…28%…4%…3%
By party
Group…Obama…McCain…Other…Undecided
DEMOCRATS…90%…7%…2%…1%
REPUBLICANS…10%…81%…8%…1%
INDEPENDENTS…58%…33%…8%…1%
By race
Group…Obama…McCain…Other…Undecided
WHITE…50%…44%…5%…1%
BLACK…92%…3%…2%…3%
HISPANIC…70%…20%…2%…8%
OTHER…82%…12%…1%…5%
By age
Group…Obama…McCain…Other…Undecided
18-29…64%…30%…4%…2%
30-44…59%…36%…4%…1%
45-59…60%…35%…4%…1%
60+…52%…38%…8%… 2%
By area
Group…Obama…McCain…Other…Undecided
CHICAGO/COOK…71%…21%…7%…1%
COLLAR…41%…52%…5%…2%
CENTRAL…57%…41%…1%…1%
SOUTHERN…55%…41%…3%…1%
QUESTION: How important of a factor do you think Barack Obama's race will be to voters; very important, important, or not important?
VERY…IMPORTANT…NOT IMPORTANT…NOT SURE
ALL…8%…16%…61%…15%
By gender
VERY…IMPORTANT…NOT IMPORTANT…NOT SURE
MEN…9%…18%…57%…16%
WOMEN…7%…14%…65%…14%
By party
VERY…IMPORTANT…NOT IMPORTANT…NOT SURE
DEMOCRATS…7%…15%…63%…15%
REPUBLICANS…9%…18%…58%…15%
INDEPENDENTS…8%…15%…61%…16%
By race
VERY…IMPORTANT…NOT IMPORTANT…NOT SURE
WHITE…9%…17%…60%…14%
BLACK…6%…14%…63%…17%
HISPANIC…7%…14%…62%…17%
OTHER…6%…13%…62%…19%
QUESTION: Do you think the country is ready to elect an African-American as president?
YES…NO…NOT SURE
ALL…74%…14%…12%
By gender
YES…NO…NOT SURE
MEN…71%…18%…11%
WOMEN…77%…10%…13%
By party
YES…NO…NOT SURE
DEMOCRATS…80%…11%…9%
REPUBLICANS…63%…20%…17%
INDEPENDENTS…75%…13%…12%
By race
YES…NO…NOT SURE
WHITE…72%…14%…14%
BLACK…80%…10%…10%
HISPANIC…77%…12%…11%
OTHER…77%…10%…13%
:
Issue…Obama…McCain…Not sure
THE ECONOMY…61%…33%…6%
INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS…50%…42%…8%
THE WAR IN IRAQ…49%…43%…8%
ISSUES OF SPECIAL CONCERN TO WOMEN…63%…29%…8%
GASOLINE PRICES/ENERGY POLICY…52%…39%…9%
GLOBAL WARMING AND OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES…54%…33%…13%
THE U.S. CAMPAIGN AGAINST TERRORISM…45%…50%…5%
TAXES…56%…40%…4%
HEALTH CARE…58%…30%…12%
APPOINTMENTS TO THE U.S. SUPREME COURT…51%…39%…10%
QUESTION: Do you feel the country overall is heading in the right direction
or wrong direction?
Group…Right…Wrong…Not sure
ALL…15%…84%…1%
By gender
Group…Right…Wrong…Not sure
MEN…17%…82%…1%
WOMEN…13%…86%…1%
By party
Group…Right…Wrong…Not sure
DEMOCRATS…2%…98%…-
REPUBLICANS…45%…54%…1%
INDEPENDENTS…7%…92%…1%
By race
Group…Right…Wrong…Not sure
WHITE…20%…79%…1%
BLACK…2%…97%…1%
HISPANIC…2%…97%…1%
OTHER…2%…96%…2%
By age
Group…Right…Wrong…Not sure
18-29…11%…88%…1%
30-44…16%…83%…1%
45-59…13%…86%…1%
60+…18%…80%…2%
By area
Group…Right…Wrong…Not sure
CHICAGO/COOK…10%…89%…1%
COLLAR…22%…77%…1%
CENTRAL…16%…83%…1%
SOUTHERN…18%…81%…1%
Posted in Elections on Saturday, October 25, 2008 12:00 am Updated: 12:12 pm.
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